Pre-Meeting Forecasts,Oct 2005 Project LINK - UN/DESA Oct. 26th 2005
| 2003 2004 %chg 2005 %chg 2006 %chg 2007 %chg 2008 %chg |
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Aggregate Demand (Billions of Venezuelan Bolivars, Current Prices)
Priv consumption 2 CPTC |95115.3 ******* 41.9 ******* 34.7 ******* 32.5 ******* 24.8 ******* 20.4 |
Export goods+ser 53 X |50131.3 79891.2 59.4 ******* 48.0 ******* 25.5 ******* 13.8 ******* 19.6 |
Import goods+ser 63 M |25808.4 53062.0 105.6 84713.8 59.7 ******* 52.8 ******* 39.4 ******* 38.1 |
Gross dom prod 95 PTBC |******* ******* 53.3 ******* 31.7 ******* 24.1 ******* 22.1 ******* 21.2 |
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Aggregate Demand (Millions of Venezuelan Bolivars, 1968 Prices)
Priv consumption 1 CPTR | 53172. 61999. 16.6 71794. 15.8 82492. 14.9 89586. 8.6 92363. 3.1 |
Publ consumption 3 CGR | 14800. 16857. 13.9 19066. 13.1 21373. 12.1 22698. 6.2 23265. 2.5 |
Priv. invest 330 IBFPR | 3794.3 4059.9 7.0 4510.5 11.1 4871.4 8.0 5163.6 6.0 5421.8 5.0 |
Publ invest 333 IBFGR | 6371. 8811. 38.3 11013. 25.0 12445. 13.0 13690. 10.0 14785. 8.0 |
Export goods+ser 54 XR | 7489.6 8373.4 11.8 8800.4 5.1 9055.6 2.9 9345.4 3.2 9653.8 3.3 |
Import goods+ser 64 MR | 6570. 10511. 60.0 15105. 43.7 20285. 34.3 23409. 15.4 24627. 5.2 |
Gross dom prod 96 PTBR | 73009. 86078. 17.9 95030. 10.4 102347. 7.7 106953. 4.5 109520. 2.4 |
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Balance of Payments (Billions of U.S. Dollars, Current Prices)
Exports 536 BLNK041 | 27.009 38.515 42.6 56.117 45.7 59.315 5.7 58.425 -1.5 56.673 -3.0 |
Imports 537 BLNK042 | 16.825 25.069 49.0 34.570 37.9 40.689 17.7 43.497 6.9 46.498 6.9 |
FOB trade bal 514 TBL | 10.184 13.446 32.0 21.546 60.2 18.626 -13.6 14.928 -19.9 10.174 -31.8 |
Curr acc balance 25 BALCCTE@ | 11.027 ******* ***** ******* 212.1 ******* 28.0 ******* 2.4 ******* -2.7 |
Foreign debt 527 DEBT | 39.700 43.200 8.8 43.400 0.5 43.600 0.5 45.900 5.3 48.500 5.7 |
Interest payment 525 IPYM | 3.0966 3.3696 8.8 3.3852 0.5 3.4008 0.5 3.5802 5.3 3.7830 5.7 |
Exch rate(loc/$) 321 TCM3 |******* ******* 16.8 ******* 11.8 ******* 2.3 ******* 8.9 ******* 15.3 |
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Trade (Billions of U.S. Dollars, Current Prices)
Exports SITC 0-1 481 VXL01 | 0.453 0.657 44.8 0.685 4.3 0.718 4.9 0.792 10.3 0.838 5.7 |
SITC 2+4 482 VXL24 | 0.734 0.951 29.6 1.025 7.7 1.121 9.4 1.176 4.9 1.216 3.4 |
SITC 3 483 VXL3 | 22.193 31.983 44.1 49.370 54.4 52.791 6.9 52.011 -1.5 50.107 -3.7 |
SITC 5-9 484 VXL59 | 3.629 4.924 35.7 5.038 2.3 4.685 -7.0 4.446 -5.1 4.513 1.5 |
All goods 485 VXL09 | 27.009 38.515 42.6 56.117 45.7 59.315 5.7 58.425 -1.5 56.673 -3.0 |
Imports SITC 0-1 491 VML01 | 1.613 2.838 75.9 4.007 41.2 5.437 35.7 6.699 23.2 7.978 19.1 |
SITC 2+4 492 VML24 | 3.614 6.278 73.7 9.593 52.8 13.823 44.1 15.925 15.2 16.896 6.1 |
SITC 3 493 VML3 | 0.159 0.292 84.3 0.375 28.3 0.388 3.5 0.446 14.9 0.469 5.1 |
SITC 5-9 494 VML59 | 11.439 15.661 36.9 20.595 31.5 21.040 2.2 20.427 -2.9 21.155 3.6 |
All goods 495 VML09 | 16.825 25.069 49.0 34.570 37.9 40.689 17.7 43.497 6.9 46.498 6.9 |
Trade balance | 10.184 13.446 32.0 21.546 60.2 18.626 -13.6 14.928 -19.9 10.175 -31.8 |
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Key Economic Indicators
GDP deflator 241 IDPT | 203.6 264.7 30.0 315.8 19.3 363.8 15.2 424.9 16.8 503.1 18.4 |
Cons price index 238 IDCPR | 178.9 217.7 21.7 253.2 16.3 291.9 15.3 335.4 14.9 391.8 16.8 |
Whole sale price 235 IGPM | 118.7 154.3 30.0 180.5 17.0 205.2 13.7 242.5 18.2 289.8 19.5 |
Exp G+S defl 228 IPX | 669. 958. 43.1 1440. 50.4 1544. 7.2 1624. 5.2 1765. 8.7 |
Imp G+S defl 278 IPMS | 392.9 504.8 28.5 558.3 10.6 589.6 5.6 683.9 16.0 834.4 22.0 |
Unemployment (%) 154 UR | 18.0 15.0 -16.7 12.0 -20.0 11.0 -8.3 9.0 -18.2 11.0 22.2 |
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VER is inventory change and residual
Generated October 28, 2005.
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