Pre-Meeting Forecasts,Oct 2005 Project LINK - UN/DIESA Oct. 26th 2005
| 2003 2004 %chg 2005 %chg 2006 %chg 2007 %chg 2008 %chg |
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Aggregate Demand (Millions of Pounds, Current Prices)
Priv consumption 99 CN |698854. 733405. 4.9 759345. 3.5 789729. 4.0 825557. 4.5 864099. 4.7 |
Publ consumption 640 GN |239911. 254520. 6.1 254711. 0.1 261473. 2.7 283822. 8.5 302621. 6.6 |
Investment 853 IFN |163458. 176109. 7.7 185403. 5.3 196224. 5.8 207953. 6.0 220341. 6.0 |
Priv investment 859 IFPN |137491. 145605. 5.9 148203. 1.8 151633. 2.3 157617. 3.9 163806. 3.9 |
Publ investment 857 IFGN | 25967. 30504. 17.5 37200. 22.0 44590. 19.9 50336. 12.9 56535. 12.3 |
Inventory change 476 IIN | 12967. 13911. 7.3 9507. -31.7 37426. 293.6 27131. -27.5 24638. -9.2 |
Export good+serv 40 XN |287644. 288414. 0.3 309188. 7.2 326436. 5.6 336019. 2.9 352938. 5.0 |
Import good+serv 41 MN |315972. 324232. 2.6 348985. 7.6 370244. 6.1 384092. 3.7 400537. 4.3 |
Factor cost adj 758 FCAN |138311. 152171. 10.0 162286. 6.6 172769. 6.5 183681. 6.3 195631. 6.5 |
Gross dom prod 740 GDPNE |949174. 989905. 4.3 ******* 2.0 ******* 6.2 ******* 4.2 ******* 5.1 |
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Aggregate Demand (Millions of Pounds, 1985 Prices)
Priv consumption 105 C |382303. 396447. 3.7 403582. 1.8 412859. 2.3 424802. 2.9 437975. 3.1 |
Publ consumption 133 G |102977. 105654. 2.6 107450. 1.7 110137. 2.5 112890. 2.5 115712. 2.5 |
Gross investment 182 IFK |104219. 109325. 4.9 112496. 2.9 116095. 3.2 120389. 3.7 124842. 3.7 |
Priv investment 186 IFP |100505. 104833. 4.3 106823. 1.9 109310. 2.3 113719. 4.0 118495. 4.2 |
Publ investment 178 IFG | 15899. 17642. 11.0 20200. 14.5 22482. 11.3 23539. 4.7 24386. 3.6 |
Inventory change 252 II | 7244. 7727. 6.7 4620. -40.2 2708. -41.4 13571. 401.1 13106. -3.4 |
Export good+serv 279 X |222996. 231692. 3.9 241423. 4.2 253373. 4.9 267739. 5.7 283589. 5.9 |
Import good+serv 281 M |276232. 292561. 5.9 304995. 4.3 321337. 5.4 339541. 5.7 358328. 5.5 |
Factor cost adj. 282 FCA | 77645. 80199. 3.3 82340. 2.7 84538. 2.7 86790. 2.7 89108. 2.7 |
Gross dom prod 794 GDPE |474081. 489249. 3.2 497564. 1.7 509084. 2.3 523750. 2.9 540185. 3.1 |
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Balance of Payments (Billions of U.S. Dollars, Current Prices)
Exports 1383 VXLB | 307.9 349.6 13.5 367.5 5.1 378.1 2.9 408.8 8.1 440.4 7.7 |
Imports 1384 VMLB | 385.7 456.9 18.5 482.9 5.7 500.5 3.6 541.1 8.1 576.3 6.5 |
FOB trade bal 1446 TBL | -77.8 -107.3 37.9 -115.5 7.6 -122.4 6.0 -132.3 8.1 -135.9 2.7 |
Current bal US$ 1386 BALD | -27.6 -42.7 54.6 -35.2 -17.5 -42.5 20.6 -65.5 54.2 -46.0 -29.7 |
Current bal/GDPN 819 BAL% | -1.53 -2.04 33.9 -1.67 -18.3 -1.93 15.4 -2.72 41.1 -1.74 -36.2 |
Exch rate(loc/$) 68 PND%D | 0.6122 0.5458 -10.8 0.5470 0.2 0.5609 2.5 0.5388 -3.9 0.5129 -4.8 |
DM/PND 62 DM%PND | 2.8260 2.8827 2.0 2.8612 -0.7 2.8625 0.0 2.8850 0.8 2.9125 1.0 |
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Balance of Payments (Billions of U.S. Dollars, Current Prices)
Exports SITC 0-1 1413 VXL01 | 22.9 25.6 11.7 25.7 0.5 27.0 5.0 28.9 7.0 30.5 5.7 |
SITC 2+4 1414 VXL24 | 10.0 11.1 11.7 11.2 0.5 11.5 2.8 12.1 5.6 12.7 4.4 |
SITC 3 1415 VXL3 | 34.0 39.7 16.9 55.7 40.2 60.2 8.1 58.7 -2.6 56.4 -3.9 |
SITC 5-9 1416 VXL59 | 237.4 265.1 11.7 266.3 0.5 270.7 1.6 299.7 10.7 330.6 10.3 |
All goods 1417 VXL09 | 304.2 341.6 12.3 358.9 5.1 369.4 2.9 399.3 8.1 430.2 7.7 |
Imports SITC 0-1 1423 VML01 | 34.8 40.2 15.6 41.1 2.2 43.5 6.0 46.6 7.1 48.8 4.8 |
SITC 2+4 1424 VML24 | 18.6 21.5 15.6 22.0 2.4 22.7 3.1 24.1 6.2 25.1 3.8 |
SITC 3 1425 VML3 | 27.3 42.5 55.7 58.9 38.6 63.7 8.1 62.6 -1.7 60.2 -3.8 |
SITC 5-9 1426 VML59 | 290.8 336.1 15.6 343.4 2.2 352.4 2.6 388.2 10.1 421.1 8.5 |
All goods 1427 VML09 | 371.5 440.3 18.5 465.4 5.7 482.3 3.6 521.5 8.1 555.2 6.5 |
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Key Economic Indicators
GDP deflator 213 PGDP | 2.0039 2.0252 1.1 2.0312 0.3 2.1077 3.8 2.1364 1.4 2.1763 1.9 |
Priv cons defl 100 PC | 1.8295 1.8514 1.2 1.8829 1.7 1.9142 1.7 1.9447 1.6 1.9742 1.5 |
Priv inv defl 92 PIF | 1.5088 1.5540 3.0 1.5929 2.5 1.6367 2.8 1.6758 2.4 1.7152 2.4 |
Exports defl 830 PX | 1.2312 1.2220 -0.8 1.2610 3.2 1.2884 2.2 1.2745 -1.1 1.2836 0.7 |
Imports defl 762 PM | 1.0717 1.0664 -0.5 1.1042 3.5 1.1283 2.2 1.1233 -0.4 1.1259 0.2 |
Retail price idx 530 RPI | 1.9164 1.9739 3.0 2.0331 3.0 2.0858 2.6 2.1403 2.6 2.2005 2.8 |
Wage rate index 459 WSI | 269.9 280.1 3.8 292.1 4.3 304.6 4.3 317.1 4.1 330.0 4.1 |
Unemployment(%) 451 U | 3.0642 2.7801 -9.3 2.8178 1.4 2.9832 5.9 3.0078 0.8 2.9204 -2.9 |
Ind. prod. index 298 PROD | 119.82 120.97 1.0 120.53 -0.4 121.56 0.9 123.17 1.3 124.78 1.3 |
Interest rate(3) 694 RS | 3.503 4.356 24.3 4.455 2.3 4.056 -9.0 4.037 -0.5 4.275 5.9 |
Base rates 47 RLB | 3.687 4.585 24.3 4.690 2.3 4.270 -9.0 4.250 -0.5 4.500 5.9 |
Money supply 975 KM4N | 4371.4 4756.1 8.8 5246.0 10.3 5581.0 6.4 5944.4 6.5 6315.1 6.2 |
PSBR 937 PSBR | 38404. 28004. -27.1 30943. 10.5 28454. -8.0 29627. 4.1 30511. 3.0 |
PSBR/GDPNM 940 PSBRM | 2.97 1.91 -35.7 2.00 5.0 1.73 -13.7 1.64 -5.1 1.47 -10.1 |
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Generated October 28, 2005.
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