Pre-Meeting Forecasts,Oct 2005 Project LINK - UN/DIESA Oct. 26th 2005
| 2003 2004 %chg 2005 %chg 2006 %chg 2007 %chg 2008 %chg |
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Aggregate Demand (Billions of Yen, Current Prices)
PRIV CONSUMPTION 34 CP |282776. 285321. 0.9 290171. 1.7 294814. 1.6 299825. 1.7 305821. 2.0 |
PUBL CONSUMPTION 6 CG | 87914. 89119. 1.4 90958. 2.1 92422. 1.6 93910. 1.6 95421. 1.6 |
PRIV INVEST N.R 37 IFP | 74129. 77242. 4.2 82417. 6.7 87032. 5.6 91123. 4.7 95041. 4.3 |
PRIV INVEST RES 36 IHP | 17729. 18205. 2.7 18580. 2.1 18817. 1.3 19291. 2.5 20353. 5.5 |
PUBL INVESTMENT 17 IG | 27416. 24644. -10.1 22719. -7.8 21063. -7.3 19723. -6.4 18945. -3.9 |
PRIV INV CHANGE 39 IIP | -112. 503. ***** 1945. 286.6 2158. 11.0 2350. 8.9 2549. 8.5 |
EXPORTS OF G+S 23 EGS | 58858. 66510. 13.0 68970. 3.7 72005. 4.4 75533. 4.9 79234. 4.9 |
IMPORTS OF G+S 26 MGS | 50895. 57512. 13.0 59640. 3.7 62264. 4.4 65315. 4.9 68515. 4.9 |
GROSS DOM PROD 49 GDP |497799. 504768. 1.4 510825. 1.2 521552. 2.1 534069. 2.4 545284. 2.1 |
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AGGREGATE DEMAND (BILLIONS OF YEN, 1990 PRICES)
PRIV CONSUMPTION 1 CP95 |291622. 295996. 1.5 301620. 1.9 306144. 1.5 310736. 1.5 316329. 1.8 |
PUBL CONSUMPTION 5 CG95 | 89939. 92345. 2.7 93868. 1.6 94804. 1.0 95125. 0.3 95361. 0.2 |
PRIV INVEST N.R 12 IFP95 | 79965. 84603. 5.8 91032. 7.6 95948. 5.4 100265. 4.5 104276. 4.0 |
PRIV INVEST RES 8 IHP95 | 18195. 18596. 2.2 19063. 2.5 19252. 1.0 19582. 1.7 20437. 4.4 |
PUBL INVESTMENT 16 IG95 | 28456. 25390. -10.8 23412. -7.8 21632. -7.6 20054. -7.3 19045. -5.0 |
PRIV INV CHANGE 19 IIP95 | -121. 790. ***** 1992. 152.4 2206. 10.7 2382. 8.0 2557. 7.4 |
EXPORTS OF G+S 22 EGS95 | 60742. 69550. 14.5 72401. 4.1 75659. 4.5 78913. 4.3 82069. 4.0 |
IMPORTS OF G+S 25 MGS95 | 50026. 54478. 8.9 58128. 6.7 60744. 4.5 62748. 3.3 65258. 4.0 |
GROSS DOM PROD 31 GDP95 |518891. 532381. 2.6 543561. 2.1 553888. 1.9 563304. 1.7 573443. 1.8 |
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Balance of Payments (Billions of U.S. Dollars, Current Prices)
EXPORTS SITC 0-1 279 VXL01 | 2.1313 2.4160 13.4 2.4956 3.3 2.5565 2.4 2.6228 2.6 2.6944 2.7 |
SITC 2+4 280 VXL24 | 3.9364 4.6830 19.0 4.9672 6.1 4.9170 -1.0 5.0218 2.1 5.1363 2.3 |
SITC 3 281 VXL3 | 1.9221 2.5820 34.3 3.8804 50.3 4.2640 9.9 4.3067 1.0 4.3583 1.2 |
SITC 5-9 282 VXL59 | 441.21 529.62 20.0 571.05 7.8 610.56 6.9 638.25 4.5 661.92 3.7 |
ALL GOODS 283 VXL09 | 449.20 539.30 20.1 582.40 8.0 622.30 6.9 650.20 4.5 674.11 3.7 |
IMPORTS SITC 0-1 289 VML01 | 37.015 42.450 14.7 43.091 1.5 43.826 1.7 44.854 2.3 46.015 2.6 |
SITC 2+4 290 VML24 | 21.978 25.833 17.5 28.114 8.8 27.518 -2.1 28.517 3.6 29.507 3.5 |
SITC 3 291 VML3 | 75.823 101.360 33.7 152.087 50.0 165.923 9.1 167.122 0.7 168.572 0.9 |
SITC 5-9 292 VML59 | 207.48 237.56 14.5 250.91 5.6 263.03 4.8 273.81 4.1 292.00 6.6 |
ALL GOODS 293 VML09 | 342.30 407.20 19.0 474.20 16.5 500.30 5.5 514.30 2.8 536.10 4.2 |
FOB TRADE BAL. 312 TBL |106.900 132.100 23.6 108.200 -18.1 122.000 12.8 135.900 11.4 138.000 1.5 |
EXCH RATE(LOC/$) 60 REX | 115.93 108.20 -6.7 108.00 -0.2 110.00 1.9 110.00 0.0 110.00 0.0 |
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Key Economic Indicators
GDP DEFLATOR 30 PGDP | 0.9594 0.9479 -1.2 0.9393 -0.9 0.9412 0.2 0.9478 0.7 0.9507 0.3 |
PRIV CONS DEFL 3 PCP | 0.9697 0.9639 -0.6 0.9619 -0.2 0.9629 0.1 0.9648 0.2 0.9667 0.2 |
CPI 58 CPI | 98.03 97.89 -0.1 97.60 -0.3 98.06 0.5 98.74 0.7 99.83 1.1 |
PRIV INV DEFL 38 PIFP | 0.9272 0.9124 -1.6 0.9042 -0.9 0.9060 0.2 0.9078 0.2 0.9105 0.3 |
DEF FOR EGS 24 PEGS | 0.97 0.95 -1.5 0.95 -0.4 0.96 0.9 0.97 0.6 0.97 0.9 |
DEF FOR MGS 27 PMGS | 1.02 1.04 2.1 1.10 5.5 1.13 3.3 1.15 1.6 1.17 1.4 |
WAGE PER EMPL 59 WAGE | 49.792 49.167 -1.3 49.170 0.0 49.441 0.6 50.073 1.3 51.078 2.0 |
UNEMPLOYMENT % 75 RU | 5.2517 4.7191 -10.1 4.5757 -3.0 4.4848 -2.0 4.3396 -3.2 4.2424 -2.2 |
BANK LOAN RATE % 123 RLB | 1.8221 1.7689 -2.9 1.7400 -1.6 1.7428 0.2 1.8535 6.3 2.0910 12.8 |
GOV. NOTES RATE% 128 RLBOND | 0.9876 1.4983 51.7 1.5936 6.4 1.6275 2.1 2.0305 24.8 2.4089 18.6 |
MONEY SUPPLY 122 M2CD | 679.51 692.20 1.9 701.96 1.4 717.02 2.1 730.15 1.8 739.96 1.3 |
IND PROD INDEX 20 IPI | 95.05 100.14 5.4 100.65 0.5 101.24 0.6 101.65 0.4 102.14 0.5 |
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Generated October 28, 2005.
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