Pre-Meeting Forecasts,Oct 2005 Project LINK - UN/DESA Oct. 26th 2005
| 2003 2004 %chg 2005 %chg 2006 %chg 2007 %chg 2008 %chg |
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Aggregate Demand (Billions of Rupees, Current Prices)
Exports gds+serv 92 XN |4386.87 5285.13 20.5 6519.36 23.4 7996.98 22.7 9745.94 21.9 ******* 22.1 |
Imports gds+serv 91 MN |4058.49 5488.00 35.2 7234.81 31.8 9075.02 25.4 ******* 22.5 ******* 21.1 |
Gross dom prod 60 GDPN |28371.3 31948.2 12.6 36072.5 12.9 40517.3 12.3 45211.9 11.6 50552.4 11.8 |
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Aggregate Demand (Billions of Rupees, 1975 Prices)
Priv consumption 56 PC | 2129.4 2266.5 6.4 2406.4 6.2 2561.4 6.4 2725.5 6.4 2908.7 6.7 |
Pub consumption 119 GC | 392.71 409.95 4.4 430.94 5.1 454.34 5.4 479.74 5.6 506.99 5.7 |
Fixed invest 55 IF | 778.62 854.54 9.7 951.27 11.3 1058.76 11.3 1176.07 11.1 1303.68 10.8 |
Increase stocks 25 II |198.031 244.620 23.5 299.687 22.5 249.432 -16.8 252.144 1.1 256.251 1.6 |
Exports gds+serv 22 X |1152.61 1296.68 12.5 1517.12 17.0 1805.37 19.0 2130.33 18.0 2524.45 18.5 |
Imports gds+serv 23 M |1182.42 1489.85 26.0 1802.72 21.0 2109.18 17.0 2425.56 15.0 2777.26 14.5 |
Gross dom prod 57 GDP | 3171.4 3391.5 6.9 3621.1 6.8 3866.6 6.8 4141.9 7.1 4450.5 7.4 |
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Balance of Payments (Billions of U.S. Dollars, Current Prices)
Exports 206 UNUSED1 | 58.222 73.158 25.7 90.603 23.8 109.990 21.4 131.929 19.9 157.986 19.8 |
Imports 207 UNUSED2 | 83.001 110.741 33.4 144.792 30.7 179.901 24.2 217.106 20.7 260.365 19.9 |
FOB trade bal. 186 TBL |-24.779 -37.583 51.7 -54.189 44.2 -69.911 29.0 -85.177 21.8 ******* 20.2 |
Foreign debt 127 DEBT |104.674 107.110 2.3 114.221 6.6 124.017 8.6 135.503 9.3 148.094 9.3 |
Int. payment 124 IPYM | 4.920 5.034 2.3 5.368 6.6 5.829 8.6 6.369 9.3 6.960 9.3 |
Curr. a/c bal. 129 CABD | 6.718 -4.872 ***** -14.222 191.9 -19.592 37.8 -22.972 17.3 -25.184 9.6 |
Exch rate(loc/$) 1 EXRC | 46.580 45.320 -2.7 44.740 -1.3 45.008 0.6 45.508 1.1 45.822 0.7 |
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Trade (Billions of U.S. Dollars, Current Prices)
Exports SITC 0-1 153 VXL01 | 4.584 5.168 12.7 5.909 14.3 6.563 11.1 7.188 9.5 7.804 8.6 |
SITC 2+4 154 VXL24 | 3.089 3.456 11.9 3.875 12.1 4.228 9.1 4.635 9.6 5.068 9.3 |
SITC 3 155 VXL3 | 1.142 1.844 61.4 2.872 55.7 3.219 12.1 3.597 11.7 3.990 10.9 |
SITC 5-9 156 VXL59 | 48.204 61.331 27.2 76.411 24.6 94.242 23.3 114.568 21.6 138.981 21.3 |
All goods 157 VXL09 | 57.020 71.799 25.9 89.067 24.0 108.251 21.5 129.988 20.1 155.842 19.9 |
Imports SITC 0-1 163 VML01 | 1.127 1.361 20.8 1.578 15.9 1.712 8.5 1.883 10.0 2.062 9.5 |
SITC 2+4 164 VML24 | 6.110 8.478 38.7 10.806 27.5 12.871 19.1 14.847 15.4 16.988 14.4 |
SITC 3 165 VML3 | 16.903 23.574 39.5 36.580 55.2 44.096 20.5 53.705 21.8 65.939 22.8 |
SITC 5-9 166 VML59 | 49.720 66.657 34.1 83.579 25.4 107.516 28.6 131.507 22.3 158.755 20.7 |
All goods 167 VML09 | 73.860 100.070 35.5 132.542 32.4 166.195 25.4 201.943 21.5 243.745 20.7 |
Trade balance |-16.840 -28.270 67.9 -43.476 53.8 -57.943 33.3 -71.954 24.2 -87.903 22.2 |
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Key Economic Indicators
GDP deflator 53 PV | 8.95 9.42 5.3 9.96 5.7 10.48 5.2 10.92 4.2 11.36 4.1 |
Whole sale price 41 WPI | 7.79 8.25 5.9 8.70 5.4 9.15 5.2 9.58 4.7 10.05 5.0 |
Export deflator 75 PX | 3.81 4.08 7.1 4.30 5.4 4.43 3.1 4.57 3.3 4.71 3.0 |
Import deflator 73 PM | 3.43 3.68 7.3 4.01 9.0 4.30 7.2 4.58 6.6 4.85 5.8 |
Wage(rupee/mon) 26 WAGE | 5059.1 5438.6 7.5 5824.7 7.1 6255.7 7.4 6756.2 8.0 7262.9 7.5 |
Money supply 132 M2 |17643.0 20595.0 16.7 23568.9 14.4 27104.2 15.0 31169.9 15.0 35845.3 15.0 |
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II(25): Change in stock and residual
Generated October 28, 2005.
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