Pre-Meeting Forecasts,Oct 2005 Project LINK - UN/DESA Oct. 26th 2005
| 2003 2004 %chg 2005 %chg 2006 %chg 2007 %chg 2008 %chg |
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Aggregate Demand (Billions of D.M., Current Prices)
Priv consumption 130 CP | 2449.6 2498.8 2.0 2523.6 1.0 2561.3 1.5 2613.2 2.0 2666.5 2.0 |
Gov cons 131 CST | 800.4 794.7 -0.7 796.2 0.2 803.4 0.9 811.7 1.0 821.4 1.2 |
Fixed Investment 93 IAN | 739.8 741.2 0.2 735.8 -0.7 746.6 1.5 764.3 2.4 784.7 2.7 |
Inventory chg 105 IL | 30.3 48.7 60.4 65.9 35.5 69.4 5.2 58.6 -15.5 44.4 -24.2 |
Export G+S 94 EX | 1511.7 1648.0 9.0 1756.2 6.6 1874.2 6.7 2016.4 7.6 2172.5 7.7 |
Import G+S 212 IM | 1329.9 1423.6 7.0 1525.6 7.2 1613.0 5.7 1713.5 6.2 1823.0 6.4 |
Gross dom prod 155 BIP | 4201.9 4307.7 2.5 4352.2 1.0 4441.9 2.1 4550.6 2.4 4666.4 2.5 |
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Aggregate Demand (Billions of D.M., 1991 Prices)
Priv consumption 36 CP91 | 2210.3 2223.5 0.6 2212.4 -0.5 2208.0 -0.2 2216.8 0.4 2227.9 0.5 |
Gov consumption 69 CST91 | 754.4 742.3 -1.6 736.4 -0.8 737.8 0.2 739.3 0.2 741.5 0.3 |
Fixed invest 40 IAN91 | 757.7 756.9 -0.1 750.7 -0.8 762.4 1.6 783.4 2.7 806.2 2.9 |
- Mach + Equip 46 IAU91 | 293.5 301.1 2.6 313.5 4.1 327.6 4.5 342.9 4.7 359.3 4.8 |
- Construction 47 IB91 | 411.0 401.6 -2.3 381.9 -4.9 377.3 -1.2 379.2 0.5 382.2 0.8 |
Inventory chang 39 IL91 | 35.7 54.9 53.7 73.8 34.5 76.6 3.8 63.7 -16.8 48.0 -24.7 |
Export G+S 41 EX91 | 1442.7 1574.9 9.2 1667.9 5.9 1776.4 6.5 1905.4 7.3 2048.2 7.5 |
Import G+S 211 IM91 | 1265.8 1354.3 7.0 1411.2 4.2 1483.2 5.1 1567.1 5.7 1657.7 5.8 |
Gross dom prod 57 BIP91 | 3935.1 3998.1 1.6 4029.9 0.8 4078.0 1.2 4141.5 1.6 4214.2 1.8 |
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Balance of Payments
Exports BOP 298 VXLB | 751.3 909.8 21.1 979.2 7.6 1022.4 4.4 1130.1 10.5 1260.0 11.5 |
Imports BOP 299 VMLB | 585.3 698.1 19.3 770.6 10.4 808.3 4.9 876.2 8.4 958.0 9.3 |
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Trade (Billions of U.S. Dollars, Current Prices)
Exports SITC 0-1 323 VXL01 | 24.0 28.9 20.4 30.6 5.8 32.4 6.1 34.6 6.7 37.0 6.8 |
SITC 2+4 324 VXL24 | 12.8 15.6 22.0 16.0 2.6 16.3 2.0 16.8 2.8 17.3 3.0 |
SITC 3 325 VXL3 | 14.3 20.8 45.2 32.1 54.3 36.2 12.6 37.2 2.8 38.2 2.8 |
SITC 5-9 326 VXL59 | 700.2 844.5 20.6 900.5 6.6 937.4 4.1 1041.5 11.1 1167.5 12.1 |
All goods 327 VXL09 | 751.3 909.8 21.1 979.2 7.6 1022.4 4.4 1130.1 10.5 1260.0 11.5 |
Imports SITC 0-1 333 VML01 | 39.1 44.6 14.0 47.0 5.4 48.5 3.2 49.9 2.7 51.3 3.0 |
SITC 2+4 334 VML24 | 21.2 25.9 22.2 27.9 8.1 28.5 2.0 29.5 3.3 30.2 2.6 |
SITC 3 335 VML3 | 57.9 77.1 33.0 111.9 45.2 125.6 12.3 126.2 0.5 126.8 0.4 |
SITC 5-9 336 VML59 | 467.1 550.6 17.9 583.8 6.0 605.6 3.7 670.7 10.7 749.6 11.8 |
All goods 337 VML09 | 585.3 698.1 19.3 770.6 10.4 808.3 4.9 876.2 8.4 958.0 9.3 |
FOB trade bal 356 TBL | 166.0 211.7 27.5 208.6 -1.5 214.1 2.6 253.9 18.6 302.1 19.0 |
Exch rate(LOC/$) 2 WEKUD | 1.7329 1.5736 -9.2 1.5653 -0.5 1.6054 2.6 1.5544 -3.2 1.4937 -3.9 |
Exch rate($/Euro 295 D_EURO | 1.1301 1.2438 10.1 1.2508 0.6 1.2183 -2.6 1.2584 3.3 1.3095 4.1 |
EXCH RATE(DM/EU 296 DM_EURO | 1.9558 1.9558 0.0 1.9558 0.0 1.9558 0.0 1.9558 0.0 1.9558 0.0 |
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Key Economic Indicators
GDP deflator 5 PBIP | 106.76 107.72 0.9 107.97 0.2 108.90 0.9 109.85 0.9 110.71 0.8 |
Priv cons defl 88 PCP | 110.82 112.37 1.4 114.05 1.5 115.99 1.7 117.87 1.6 119.67 1.5 |
Investment defl 199 PIAN | 97.62 97.91 0.3 98.01 0.1 97.91 -0.1 97.55 -0.4 97.31 -0.2 |
Gov expd defl 72 PCST | 106.01 106.96 0.9 108.03 1.0 108.79 0.7 109.69 0.8 110.67 0.9 |
Exp price goods 17 PEX | 104.75 104.62 -0.1 105.27 0.6 105.48 0.2 105.80 0.3 106.05 0.2 |
Imp price goods 16 PIM | 105.04 105.09 0.0 108.08 2.8 108.72 0.6 109.31 0.5 109.95 0.6 |
Neg Wage 196 TLGH | 154.50 156.52 1.3 158.68 1.4 162.12 2.2 165.87 2.3 168.50 1.6 |
Unemployment % 292 ALQ | 10.6 10.1 -5.4 11.2 11.3 10.9 -2.4 10.7 -1.8 10.8 0.4 |
Labor Prod 206 PRODH | 70.67 72.11 2.0 72.67 0.8 73.60 1.3 74.25 0.9 75.08 1.1 |
Capacity Util % 4 KAPAY | 100.61 100.88 0.3 100.37 -0.5 100.27 -0.1 100.54 0.3 101.04 0.5 |
FIBOR (3Month) 183 ZINSK | 2.34 2.09 -10.4 2.11 1.0 2.11 0.0 2.49 17.7 2.99 20.1 |
EURIBOR(3Month) 297 EURIBOR | 2.34 2.10 -10.4 2.12 1.0 2.12 0.0 2.49 17.7 2.99 20.1 |
Bond rate 75 ZINSL | 4.13 4.11 -0.5 3.75 -8.9 3.86 3.1 4.10 6.1 4.59 12.0 |
Gvnmt Saving 175 DEF | -154.8 -156.6 1.1 -151.2 -3.4 -135.9 -10.1 -129.3 -4.8 -117.6 -9.1 |
Gvnmt Savg(%gdp) 424 DEFQ | -3.7 -3.7 -1.2 -3.5 -4.8 -3.1 -11.4 -2.9 -7.6 -2.6 -10.8 |
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Generated October 28, 2005.
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