Pre-Meeting Forecasts,Oct 2005 Project LINK - UN/DESA Oct. 26th 2005
| 2003 2004 %chg 2005 %chg 2006 %chg 2007 %chg 2008 %chg |
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Aggregate Demand ( Millions of Birr, Current Prices)
Priv consumption 119 EPCV | 69078. 80872. 17.1 94230. 16.5 105784. 12.3 117337. 10.9 128890. 9.8 |
Publ consumption 163 EPGV |13310.7 15328.4 15.2 17550.7 14.5 19522.1 11.2 21493.5 10.1 23464.9 9.2 |
Fixed invest 154 EPIKV | 5163.0 5980.3 15.8 6920.4 15.7 7737.1 11.8 8553.9 10.6 9370.6 9.5 |
Increase stocks 162 EPIIV |******* ******* 11.2 ******* 4.4 ******* 7.5 ******* 7.0 ******* 6.5 |
Exports gds+serv 78 EPXNAV | 4375.6 3581.4 -18.2 3812.9 6.5 3342.6 -12.3 2872.2 -14.1 2401.8 -16.4 |
Imports gds+serv 80 EPMNAV |77504.9 87071.1 12.3 96375.3 10.7 ******* 8.9 ******* 8.2 ******* 7.5 |
Gross dom prod 165 EPGDPV |109425. 124812. 14.1 135076. 8.2 148146. 9.7 161217. 8.8 174287. 8.1 |
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Aggregate Demand (Millions of Birr, 1975 Prices)
Priv consumption 48 EPC | 6182.3 6491.4 5.0 6783.5 4.5 7063.1 4.1 7342.8 4.0 7622.5 3.8 |
Publ consumption 136 EPG | 1318.5 1377.8 4.5 1431.5 3.9 1485.3 3.8 1539.1 3.6 1592.9 3.5 |
Fixed invest 130 EPIK | 958.3 1009.0 5.3 1061.5 5.2 1111.1 4.7 1160.8 4.5 1210.4 4.3 |
Increase stocks 135 EPII |14729.8 15647.2 6.2 16564.7 5.9 18110.6 9.3 19656.6 8.5 21202.5 7.9 |
Exports gds+serv 82 EPXNA | 1313.0 1356.3 3.3 1417.3 4.5 1462.8 3.2 1508.3 3.1 1553.7 3.0 |
Imports gds+serv 83 EPMNA |12615.2 13258.8 5.1 13448.3 1.4 13923.3 3.5 14398.3 3.4 14873.3 3.3 |
Gross dom prod 51 EPGDP |10023.1 10624.5 6.0 11102.6 4.5 11651.5 4.9 12200.4 4.7 12749.4 4.5 |
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Trade Balance (Billions of U.S. Dollars, Current Prices)
Exports SITC 0-1 184 VXL01 | 0.1634 0.1307 -20.0 0.0951 -27.3 0.0623 -34.5 0.0305 -51.1 0.0250 -18.0 |
SITC 2+4 185 VXL24 | 0.0596 0.0688 15.6 0.0788 14.4 0.0880 11.8 0.0973 10.5 0.1066 9.5 |
SITC 3 186 VXL3 | 0.0120 0.0136 13.1 0.0153 12.3 0.0169 10.3 0.0185 9.3 0.0200 8.5 |
SITC 5-9 187 VXL59 | 0.0342 0.0363 6.1 0.0385 5.9 0.0404 4.9 0.0422 4.7 0.0441 4.5 |
All goods 188 VXL09 | 0.2692 0.2495 -7.3 0.2276 -8.8 0.2076 -8.8 0.1885 -9.2 0.1958 3.9 |
Imports SITC 0-1 194 VML01 | 0.3072 0.3249 5.8 0.3429 5.5 0.4498 31.2 0.4865 8.2 0.5226 7.4 |
SITC 2+4 195 VML24 | 0.1342 0.1431 6.6 0.1526 6.7 0.2430 59.2 0.2765 13.8 0.3114 12.6 |
SITC 3 196 VML3 | 0.4274 0.4637 8.5 0.4971 7.2 0.5671 14.1 0.6371 12.3 0.7011 10.1 |
SITC 5-9 197 VML59 | 0.9763 1.0214 4.6 1.0623 4.0 0.7184 -32.4 0.7600 5.8 0.8012 5.4 |
All goods 198 VML09 | 1.9656 1.5426 -21.5 1.9809 28.4 1.9783 -0.1 2.1600 9.2 2.3363 8.2 |
FOB trade bal 217 TBL |-1.6965 -1.2935 -23.8 -1.7539 35.6 -1.7708 1.0 -1.9726 11.4 -2.1689 10.0 |
Exch rate(loc/$) 19 EPE | 9.4500 9.8300 4.0 10.2000 3.8 10.5000 2.9 10.8000 2.9 11.1000 2.8 |
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Key Economic Indicators
GDP deflator 26 EPPGDP |10.9173 11.7476 7.6 12.1662 3.6 12.8422 5.6 13.5182 5.3 14.1942 5.0 |
Priv cons defl 142 EPPC |11.1735 12.4585 11.5 13.8912 11.5 15.1812 9.3 16.4712 8.5 17.7612 7.8 |
Priv inv. defl 131 EPPIK | 5.3879 5.9267 10.0 6.5193 10.0 7.0598 8.3 7.6002 7.7 8.1406 7.1 |
Export defl 70 EPPXNA | 3.3936 3.1843 -6.2 3.3652 5.7 3.2647 -3.0 3.1642 -3.1 3.0637 -3.2 |
Import defl 72 EPPMNA | 6.1438 6.5671 6.9 7.1664 9.1 7.5953 6.0 8.0243 5.6 8.4533 5.3 |
Money supply M2 171 EPM2 | 49556. 56944. 14.9 58669. 3.0 63846. 8.8 69023. 8.1 74199. 7.5 |
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Generated October 28, 2005.
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