Pre-Meeting Forecasts,Oct 2005 Project LINK - UN/DESA Oct. 26th 2005
| 2003 2004 %chg 2005 %chg 2006 %chg 2007 %chg 2008 %chg |
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Aggregate Demand (Trillions of Cruzeiros, Current Prices)
PRIV CONSUMPTION 106 PCN | 3924.9 4462.0 14. 5013.1 12. 5626.9 12. ******* 1793. ******* 0. |
PUBL CONSUMPTION 109 GCN | 1089.8 1262.1 16. 1499.1 19. 1824.2 22. 2267.9 24. 2853.2 26. |
FIXED INVESTMENT 105 IFN | 1652.5 1812.0 10. 1994.2 10. 2186.7 10. 24389.8 1015. 24389.8 0. |
EXPORTS GDS+SERV 108 XN | 425.6 502.5 18. 552.1 10. 602.0 9. 14335.0 2281. 14335.0 0. |
IMPORTS GDS+SERV 107 MN | 201.7 228.5 13. 258.5 13. 289.3 12. 321.0 11. 353.7 10. |
GROSS DOM PROD 103 GDPN | 8150.3 9860.2 21. 11872.5 20. 14336.8 21. 16998.8 19. 21350.8 26. |
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Aggregate Demand (Millions of Cruzeiros, 1970 Prices)
Priv consumption 79 PC | 460.7 479.6 4.1 499.3 4.1 524.3 5.0 552.6 5.4 582.4 5.4 |
Publ consumption 141 GC | 90.6 90.7 0.1 93.2 2.8 96.2 3.2 98.7 2.6 100.9 2.2 |
Fixed inbestment 74 IF | 107.4 115.5 7.5 120.8 4.6 130.9 8.4 141.7 8.2 151.1 6.7 |
Increase stocks 143 II | -3.6 -3.8 6.2 12.1 ***** 17.3 42.6 22.4 29.9 27.6 23.0 |
Exports gds+serv 5 X | 121.7 143.6 18.0 162.3 13.0 179.7 10.7 201.8 12.3 228.6 13.3 |
Imports gds+serv 56 M | 68.7 78.5 14.3 90.1 14.7 104.8 16.4 123.7 18.0 139.3 12.6 |
Gross dom prod 77 GDP | 677.4 710.6 4.9 735.5 3.5 764.9 4.0 797.1 4.2 834.5 4.7 |
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Balance of Payments (Billions of Dollars, Current Prices)
Exports 151 BLNK002 | 73.1 98.4 34.7 112.5 14.3 121.2 7.7 129.5 6.9 142.9 10.4 |
Imports 152 BLNK003 | 48.5 61.8 27. 78.0 26. 84.5 8. 75.9 -10. 87.9 16. |
FOB trade bal 213 TBL | 24.6 36.7 48.8 34.5 -6.0 36.6 6.3 53.6 46.3 55.0 2.6 |
Foreign debt 36 DEBT | 214.9 201.4 -6.3 189.5 -5.9 187.8 -0.9 180.5 -3.9 173.3 -4.0 |
Interest payment 37 INTD | 10.1 11.2 10.7 8.6 -23.5 7.4 -13.7 5.1 -30.8 4.0 -21.1 |
Curr acc balance 100 CABD | 4.200 11.670 177.9 12.000 2.8 7.100 -40.8 3.500 -50.7 2.600 -25.7 |
EXCH RATE(LOC/$) 153 REAL | 3.1 2.9 -6. 2.4 -16. 2.6 6. 2.6 2. 2.7 3. |
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Trade (Billions of U.S. Dollars, Current Prices)
Exports SITC 0-1 180 VXL01 | 21.4 28.8 34.6 24.6 -14.6 22.5 -8.5 20.7 -8.0 20.7 0.0 |
SITC 2+4 181 VXL24 | 8.9 10.9 22.5 11.4 4.6 12.7 11.4 13.3 4.7 16.4 23.3 |
SITC 3 182 VXL3 | 0.7 0.8 14.3 0.8 0.0 0.9 12.5 1.0 11.1 1.2 20.0 |
SITC 5-9 183 VXL59 | 42.1 56.0 33.0 70.0 25.0 95.5 36.4 82.8 -13.3 108.8 31.4 |
All goods 184 VXL09 | 73.1 96.5 32.0 106.8 10.7 131.6 23.2 117.8 -10.5 147.1 24.9 |
Imports SITC 0-1 190 VML01 | 4.0 5.3 32.5 5.9 11.3 9.4 59.3 8.2 -12.8 11.4 39.0 |
SITC 2+4 191 VML24 | 3.1 4.4 41.9 4.7 6.8 7.2 53.2 5.9 -18.1 8.1 37.3 |
SITC 3 192 VML3 | 7.3 11.2 53.4 12.2 8.9 12.3 0.8 11.5 -6.5 12.5 8.7 |
SITC 5-9 193 VML59 | 33.9 41.9 23.6 45.5 8.6 69.6 53.0 63.4 -8.9 91.2 43.8 |
All goods 194 VML09 | 48.3 62.8 30.0 68.3 8.8 98.5 44.2 89.0 -9.6 123.2 38.4 |
Trade Balance | 24.8 33.7 35.9 38.5 14.2 33.1 -14.0 28.8 -13.0 23.9 -17.0 |
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Key Economic Indicators
GDP DEFLATOR 72 PGDP | 12.03 13.84 15. 16.05 16. 18.62 16. 189.83 920. 189.83 0. |
PRIV CONS DEFL 64 PPC | 8.52 9.29 9. 9.94 7. 10.43 5. 10.65 2. 11.08 4. |
INVEST DEFL 51 PIF | 15.39 15.69 2. 16.01 2. 16.33 2. 16.65 2. 16.99 2. |
EXPORT DEFL 30 PX | 3.5 3.5 0. 3.5 0. 3.5 0. 3.5 0. 3.5 0. |
IMPORT DEFL 31 PM | 2.9 3.0 1. 3.0 1. 3.1 1. 3.1 1. 3.2 1. |
PSBR TO GDP 154 BLNK005 | 2.7 3.1 15. 3.0 -3. 2.5 -17. 2.2 -12. 2.2 0. |
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Generated October 28, 2005.
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